The 49ers will beat the Seahawks 12-6 tonight.
If the game was in Seattle on turf, I would have to favor the Seahawks in a short week. But the game is at Candlestick, and the grass field will negate the great quickness and speed of Seattle’s defensive front.
Both the 49ers and Seahawks will run more than they pass. Marshawn Lynch will carry the ball 30 times for 80 yards, Frank Gore will carry it 24 times for 70 yards and Kendall Hunter will carry it 12 times for 60 yards.
Colin Kaepernick will play a two or three red-zone snaps and hand the ball off.
Russell Wilson will turn the ball over once and Alex Smith won’t turn it over at all, and that will be the difference in this game.
Seattle likes to move the pocket for Wilson and put him on the edge because of his shortness and athleticism. Two of his biggest gainers against the Patriots last week were passes outside the pocket and on the run. Ahmad Brooks and Aldon Smith are going to have to chase Wilson down when he tries to extend plays.
The 49ers corners were exposed a bit against the Giants, but Seattle’s receiving corps (Sidney Rice, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin and Braylon Edwards) is not as good, although they do have some speed.
That speed will be less of a factor at Candlestick, and a short week always favors the home team. The 49ers will have a tougher time against the Seahawks on December, 23rd when they play in Seattle.