Here are my week 10 NFL picks.
49ers vs. Giants: 49ers. The Giants allow an average of 127.1 yards rushing per game. So, I’m setting the over/under for Gore’s rushing total at 160 yards. I’m also setting Brandon Jacobs over/under at 30 rush yards. It’s tough for any team to win when you can’t run or stop the run, so the Giants are going to lose. Score prediction: 27-20 Niners.
Saints @ Falcons: Falcons. It’s a great passing offense (the Saints) against a substandard pass defense, and great running back (The Falcons’ Michael Turner) against a bad run defense. I’m taking the home team.
Steelers @ Bengals: Steelers. The Bengals won’t be able to move the ball or score points against the Steelers’ defense. Plus, Cincinnati is better at stopping the run than the pass, so Roethlisberger will have another big game.
Rams @ Browns: Rams. Two terrible teams, but the Browns can’t stop the run and the Rams have Steven Jackson, who is a great running back when he’s healthy. He’s healthy enough this week.
Bills @ Cowboys: Cowboys. Dallas will hold Bills’ RB Fred Jackson in check. Buffalo’s 25th ranked pass defense will not be able to slow down Tony Romo. I expect the Cowboys to win by two touchdowns.
Jaguars @ Colts: Jaguars. Indianapolis won’t be able to stop Jacksonville’s stud running back, Maurice Jone-Drew, so they’ll remain utterly defeated.
Broncos @ Chiefs: Chiefs. Matt Cassel has been atrocious the last few weeks, but the Broncos defense makes all quarterbacks look good. So that’s why I’m picking the Chiefs. Also, I can’t pick Tim Tebow to win a road game against even a semi-competent team.
Redskins @ Dolphins: Dolphins. The Redskins hardly compete and the Dolphins are coming back to life. This one is a no-brainer.
Cardinals @ Eagles: Eagles. Another no-brainer. Arizona is a bad team with a terrible defense and one of the worst pass defenses (ranked 29th) in the NFL.
Texans @ Buccaneers: Texans. Houston is playing like the best team in the AFC. They have two elite running backs – Arian Foster and Ben Tate. The Buccaneers have the 28th ranked defense. Look for both Foster and Tate to gain over 100 yards on the ground, Matt Schaub to throw fewer than 20 passes, and the Texans to win by two touchdowns.
Titans @ Panthers: Panthers. The Panthers main weakness is their run defense, but the Titans star running back, Chris Johnson, is having a dreadful season, averaging just 3 yards per carry. Cam Newton is an elite quarterback and he will win this game for the Panthers.
Ravens @ Seahawks: Ravens. I expect a blowout, a shutout – all the outs.
Lions @ Bears: Bears. The Lions beat the Bears earlier this season, but they were at home and they had their running back, Jahvid Best, who rushed for 163 yards in that game. He probably won’t play this Sunday because he’s recovering from his most recent concussion, so that’s an advantage the Lions lose. On the other side of the ball, Detroit is still weak against the run and Matt Forte is still a top-notch RB. The Bears will win by ten.
Patriots @ Jets: Jets. The Patriots have an awful defense, which makes it hard for them to beat good teams. The Jets are a good team, and they can take away the Patriots best weapon on offense – Wes Welker – because they can cover him with the best cornerback in football – Darrelle Revis.
Vikings @ Packers: Packers. The Vikings have no chance. They cannot score enough points to stay in this game.
Raiders @ Chargers: Raiders. Something tells me the Raiders will win this one 24-17 and Carson Palmer will finish with a 125 QB rating.