Week 6 NFL picks

Here are my Week 6 picks. I picked 11 of 13 games correctly in Week 5, so I’ve got that going for me.

Raiders @ Falcons: Falcons. Atlanta’s defense is allowing 5.4 yards per rush. You’d expect Darren McFadden to kill them, but he’s having a bad season (3.5 yards per carry). The Falcons will get an early lead, force the Raiders to pass and Carson Palmer will throw a few interceptions.

Bengals @ Browns: Bengals. This game will be closer than you think. The Browns’ offense is improving – it scored 27 points last Sunday – and the Bengals’ defense gives up an average of 25.8 points per game. The Bengals offense will score 30 points and win a high-scoring game.

Rams @ Dolphins: This will be a close low-scoring game. I’m picking the home team. The Rams offense isn’t good enough to beat the Dolphins in Miami. St. Louis can’t run the ball, they can’t protect Sam Bradford and their No.1 receiver, Danny Amendola, is out.

Colts @ Jets: Colts. Antonio Cromartie will shut down Reggie Wayne and force Andrew Luck to throw to other receivers, and he will, and the Colts will win.

Lions @ Eagles: Eagles. The Lions have lost their last three games and they’re going to lose their next three as well. They play the Bears in Chicago next Monday night and the Seahawks and home the Sunday after.

Chiefs @ Buccaneers: Tampa Bay’s defense allows just 73.8 rushing yards a game. They should be able to slow down the Chief’s No.2 rated rushing attack.

Cowboys @ Ravens: Ravens. Joe Flacco is 3-0 at home this season, 30-5 at home in his career.

Bills @ Cardinals: The Cardinals defense allows a skimpy 3.6 yards per carry. They will shut down C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson, and then the Bills will quit.

Patriots @ Seahawks: Patriots. New England has one of the best run defense’s in the league, allowing an average of 3.4 yards per carry. They’ll force rookie QB Russell Wilson to beat them, and he won’t. The Patriots will keep him in the pocket, knock down his passes and sack him.

Vikings @ Redskins: Vikings. Minnesota is one of the best teams in the NFC and they’re getting better. Washington’s 2-3 and their quarterback, Robert Griffin III, got knocked out of last week’s game with a concussion. I’m picking the team with the healthy QB.

Packers @ Texans: Texans. With Cedric Benson injured, the Packers will use four and five-wide receiver formations, but the Texans specialize in six-DB dime defense. They’re ready for the Packers’ passing attack. Up front, the Packers’ offensive line cannot block J.J. Watt. On the other side of the ball, the Packers will not be able to stop top running back Arian Foster.

Broncos @ Chargers: Broncos. Denver is 2-3, a game behind San Diego in the AFC West. The Broncos are the better team. They’re too good to fall to 2-4.

Stay tuned for my 49ers-Giants prediction, which I’ll post later this afternoon.